2010 is looking more and more like the rightest point of a pendulum swing. The new proof: the American public is becoming more trusting of the federal government:
51% of Americans polled believe the gummiment has too much power, compared to 40% who believe it has just the right amount, and eight percent not enough. Compare these numbers to the end of 2010, when they broke down 59/33/8. That’s a 15 point swing in favor of a comfortable level of government power:
Further, when asked whether the government should be doing more to solve the country’s problems, 54% said no while 39% said yes—a 12 point swing from the 61/34 breakdown in 2010:
In both cases, the numbers are almost exactly where they were in 2008. That’s extremely significant: conservatives have been blah-blah-blahing about how polls showing Obama ahead are using 2008 voter models rather than 2010 models, which predict a Romney victory. But while turnout remains the great variable, the political positioning of voters seems much closer to the group that elected Obama than the one that ushered in the tea party.
It also goes without saying that the more active voters want the government to be, the better for Democrats. The last time the government polled above water, Bill Clinton ended twelve years of Republican rule.
NB: If I were a conservative, I’d make the case that people trust the government more since 2010 because the tea party reformed it/reduced it. Expect a Michelle Malkin article to this effect.